- Probability that Democrats retain control of the Senate: 24.6%
- Probability that Republicans gain control of the Senate: 75.4%
- Probability that the Georgia race goes to a runoff: 51%
- Probability that the Louisiana race goes to a runoff: 82%
The histogram is based on 100,000 simulated elections based on the state-by-state probabilities summarized in the following table:
Colors on the left indicate the party of the incumbent senator. Probabilities in the center column represent probability that the Democrat wins the election. The probability for Kansas is for the independent candidate Greg Orman.
Last updated: 3 Nov 2014, 3:51 PM
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