Showing posts with label presidential system. Show all posts
Showing posts with label presidential system. Show all posts

Thursday, January 15, 2015

Britain has a 56% chance of not returning a government after Election Day

"Oh look, a squirrel. How quaint." - Tory PM David Cameron (right), to Labour leader Ed Miliband (left) and Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg (center). No pun intended.*

Ever since this blog was started in March last year I had been fairly certain that there would be quite a bit of a hiatus at least for the beginning of 2015. After all, there's not much election that happens in odd-numbered years, save for some scattered state elections in the South (two of which, Mississippi and Louisiana, already seem to favor Republicans) and some mayoral elections. There's also the pre-presidential primary scramble, which promises to be interesting, and of course 2016 sees a totally unclear presidential election as well as a Senate map that's almost as favorable for Democrats as the map the Republicans had in 2014. But of course, 2016 is just under a year from now, and for the primaries only two major candidates, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and former U.S. Senator from Virginia Jim Webb, have even formed exploratory committees. (That's if you exclude joke candidates like Jeff Boss, who unsuccessfully ran for the Democratic nomination for governor of New Jersey in 2013, and then successfully petitioned to get on the ballot as the "NSA did 911" candidate.)

As it happens I get bored easily, and an off term from college almost certainly doesn't help. (For me, it's either watching elections or playing TF2 all day anyway.) So what's there to watch in 2015? A lot, as it turns out. This year, America's two closest allies have scheduled national elections: the United Kingdom election is on May 7, and Canada's tentatively scheduled its elections for October 19.

How much does it matter to the U.S. domestically? Probably not that much. But hey, it's something to do, so here's how it works.