It's recommended that liberal arts majors turn back at this point. Or skip to the very bottom.
Most of the stuff you'll see on here is about the Senate. We've got a real nice map of our current forecast on the right-hand sidebar with nice colors, and there's a nice long summary of analyses of the 36 Senate races this year (also with nice colors).
Most of the stuff you'll see on here is about the Senate. We've got a real nice map of our current forecast on the right-hand sidebar with nice colors, and there's a nice long summary of analyses of the 36 Senate races this year (also with nice colors).
So, you might wonder, what about the 435 House races?
There are a couple reasons we haven't gone into as much detail about House races as we have with Senate ones. First, the poll-to-race ratio is a lot lower than that for Senate races. We're still a good seven months off from the election, and the most competitive Senate races have considerable polling already by respected firms. By contrast with the House, there are about 40 competitive (Toss-Up or Leans toward one party) races as reported by Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball via 270towin.com. The number of races is large, congressmen are less well known than senators, and the races are almost always more localized than Senate races, so the audience for polls of individual House races is a lot smaller. It's simply not worth the money to conduct those polls.
