The Most Likely Scenarios

Senate



Republicans pick up eight seats. The balance in the Senate is 53-47 for the Republicans (2 independents caucusing with the Democrats, one with the Republicans). The probability of this particular scenario occurring is 3.2%.

Governors



Democrats pick up three governorships, Republicans pick up two, and an independent ticket picks up one. The balance of governorships is 22-27-1 (Democrats, Republicans, and independents respectively). The probability of this particular scenario occurring is 0.4%.

Last updated November 4, 2014 at 4:31 PM

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