As it turns out, Joni Ernst's early lead in Iowa was not a fluke of which precincts turned in their votes first; with over 60% of the vote in, she has garnered 55% of the vote and appears to be heading for a non-convention victory. Sigh #1 for the Republican establishment.
Mississippi has become even less clear than it was before, as McDaniel has once again slipped below the 50% point required to avoid a runoff. He still leads Sen. Cochran, but even more narrowly, by less than 3,000 votes. Only 8% of the vote remains left to be counted, and increasingly it looks like the race is headed for a June 24 runoff. Still, when vote totals are running this close, 8% is more than enough to change a 3,000 vote gap.
New Jersey's GOP Senate primary is finally set: with 99% of the vote counted, Jeff Bell has won the right to lose to Sen. Cory Booker with a whopping 29.3% mandate from Republican voters. Best of luck to him.
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