From now on I'll be regularly updating a histogram and a table for the current Senate forecast. It's got some real nice red, white, and blue colors in it, and there's a link to it here. But it'll always be viewable from the little navbar at the top; just click "The Senate Outlook for November 4" and it'll bring you to the right tab.
For your convenience, though, here's what it's looking like:
- Probability of Democratic majority: 45.8%
- Probability of Republican majority: 54.2%
The central column represents the probability that the Democrat wins the election.
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