Still close in Mississippi: except now it's the other way around. Chris McDaniel now leads Sen. Cochran by less than 5,000 votes--50.2-48.3. Carey still holds 1.6% of the vote. 20% of the vote remains to be counted, which means there's still time for this to swing any way--McDaniel wins, Cochran wins; runoff, no runoff.
New Jersey is still close, with no candidate above 30%.
Iowa has begun reporting its votes, as well. In Iowa, primary candidates must win more than 35% of the vote to avoid a convention nomination. It's anyone's guess as to who would be nominated there--establishment Republicans fear that supporters of former Texas Rep. Ron Paul could steer the nomination toward a less moderate candidate. Like the polls said, most of the candidates are receiving under 20% of the vote. The exception is state senator Joni Ernst--our average had Ernst at 36%, just enough to avoid a convention even without any undecided voters breaking for her. As it stands she currently has over 53% of the vote. With only 22% of the vote in, it's not safe to call this race hers, but it's something to look out for. As I've been doing anyway.
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